August keeps rolling along as the Olympics are now over boxing fans! Again, Vegas Betting focuses on the August 17th fight between Christian Mbilli and Sergeiy Derevyanchenko. So, the 168-pound weight class gives us fighters other than that Canelo fellow (he fights in mid-September). Okay, we ask who will win in the Mbilli vs Derevyanchenko picks between these two fighters this upcoming weekend.
Numbers shifted some which offers us a little extra action on this bout. Therefore, the best Las Vegas online boxing betting sites were on these shifts pretty quickly. Mbilli comes in undefeated and one of the better Super Middleweights out there.
| Mbilli vs Derevyanchnko Odds |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Mbilli | -425 | -500 | -500 |
| Sergeiy Derecyanchenko | +300 | +350 | +320 |
| Over 8.5 Rounds | -120 | -125 | -120 |
| Under 8.5 Rounds | -110 | -115 | -120 |
Crawford vs Madrimov picks stray from the Moneyline. The reputation that Sergeiy Derevychenko seemed to wane in betting circles over the past month or so. That becomes even better news for Derevychenko backers, as few as there may be. Honestly, it is a surprise that Mbilli is still only a -425 to -500 favorite. Some believed the African fighter might go out to beyond -500 with ease.
Now, this would be a step up in competition for Mbilli. The Ring ranks him currently as the third-best Super Middleweight among active fighters. Mbilli has never fought longer than ten rounds. He has three fights that have gone the full ten, however.
The problem for Derevyanchenko is a big one. So, the Ukrainian better knows as “The Technician” is now 38. His late entrance into the pro ranks did not diminish his chances to fight world class talents. He fought three different time for the Middleweight crown but lost them all. Late in his career, he moved up to 168 pounds and promptly lost to Jamie Munguia.
Yes, pundits believe Derevyanchenko can be a good test for Mbilli. He can throw with a little bit of power still and could frustrate the African champion a little here. Winning by anything other than decisions feels like an unlikely proposition on the 17th.
At 168 pounds, Christian Mbilli is going for the knockout. This will be a challenge. Derevyanchenko is very prideful and will not want to go down. He has eight straight fights which have gone the distance over a period of 6+ years. So, the Mbilli vs Derevyanchenko Picks naturally expect a bout where the African looks to try and end this fight between Rounds 8 and 9.
One of the few options that bettors has is the KO/TKO/DQ number. That is because the decision option seems like it will grow more and more inevitable. This is unless Mbilli can find a way to plant the Ukrainian err knock him out. Hey, Mbilli does have 23 knockout in 27 fights including a first round knockout in his last bout. That came against Mark Heffron.
Sportsbooks all but lure bettors to the knockout. Look at the distance numbers for the upcoming fight this weekend. This is where we saw another significant move in the numbers. A full 10-round bout went from plus money to a favorite. Enough of the money is trending toward Derevyanchenko staying upright.
If one wants to take a few swings here. One choice is to go for the Rounds 9-10 knockout. Leaning towards that ninth round at +400 via Bovada is an intriguing option. The other is probably just going for the KO at +150 also via Bovada. Unfortunately, the problem with this fight is figuring out if Derevyanchenko will make a fight of it or cash a paycheck.
Mbilli vs Derevyanchenko Picks ask can Derevyanchenko pull off the upset? Anything can happen. We saw an aging GGG almost pull off the unthinkable nearly two years ago. However, Golovkin tired late and Canelo was able to take the unanimous decision.
Okay, a decision is Derevyanchenko’s likely only path to victory. Again, the Ukrainian has not won by knockout in his last eight fights. He only has 10 knockouts in 20 fights. Combinations seem to be more and more fleeting for Derevyanchenko. Three of his last fights have only been 10 round maximums. Does that help him in terms of having enough left against Mbilli?
This fight turns into whether Derevyanchenko can keep Mbilli off balance just enough. It will muck the fight but also mean more punches will have to be attempted. It is a risky idea here. If Derevyanchenko leans in too often, he may get caught by that right from Mbilli. He has to try, however. The moneyline gets at least a glance.
What about more props? Go dig into the top boxing Vegas odds. Boxing bets and props may open up a little closer to the fight on Saturday night.
Looking at rounds 5-7 was a consideration but feels like too much of a risk. Mbilli has the power to take out Derevyanchenko but it may take some time. Again, both fighters are on a more active arc currently. The Under 8.5 rounds is interesting enough and may eventually move into plus territory.
Our suggestion may be to wait all the way until the weigh-in for this bout. It is okay to be patient.
Mbilli vs Derevyanchenko picks side with youth with Christian Mbilli taking the win by late knockout.
Vegas online betting sites feature this bout along with MLB, NFL Preseason, and MLS action to come.
