While the humongous focus is on the Canelo-Crawford bout on Saturday night, there is that Sunday morning fight in Japan. Again, Vegas Betting focuses on the September 14th bout between Naoya Inoue and Murodjon Akhmadaliev. So, the 122-pound weight class gives us a bout to counter Canelo. Alright, so who will win in the Inoue vs Akhmadaliev bets over the weekend?
Numbers staying mostly constant for this bout over the past several days have helped. So, the best Vegas online boxing betting sites were looking again as more options for early Sunday morning. Inoue is looking for win number 31 and maybe a bout around Christmas against a mandatory challenger.
| Inoue vs Akhmadaliev Odds | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
| Naoya Inoue | -1000 | -1200 | -1250 |
| Murodjon Akhmadaliev | +600 | +628 | +640 |
| Over 9.5 Rounds | EVEN | EVEN | -110 |
| Under 9.5 Rounds | -135 | -130 | -121 |
Inoue vs Akhmadaliev bets stray from the Moneyline. The problem with Naoya Inoue bouts is that the Moneyline is not truly all that profitable again. The overwhelming favorite this time at least has a little bit of a test. Yes, when a number rolls in at -1000 and is called a “test”, that is a testament to how great Inoue truly is. To be fair, he is fighting a former undisputed champion in this division.
Naturally, there other ways to potentially find some more profitable bets. These require some digging but not too much. However, here are some technical type statistics. First, Inoue comes rolling in with 30 wins and 27 knockouts. That knockout percentage now at 90%. The Monster comes in averaging a little over six rounds a fight and has not seen a decision in his previous 11 bouts.
The problem for Inoue lies in all those successes. Fighting Ramon Cardenas was a bit more of a test than expected. Ultimately, Inoue got the TKO in the eighth round but Cardenas fought far from scared. Cardenas even knocked Inoue down in the second round. Ultimately, Inoue’s combination attacks proved too much during the middle rounds.
Yes, experts feel that Murodjon Akhmadaliev can push this fight further. Some even believe a decision is at least plausible. Southpaws versus Inoue make for a bout that can have its own twists. Although, Inoue occasionally fights leading with the left hand as more than just a jabbing presence.
At 122 pounds, Naoya Inoue is going for yet another knockout. This may not be that much of a challenge. So, the Inoue vs Akhmadaliev bets project a bout where the Japanese pugilist expects to end this anywhere from Round 7 to Round 10. Let us see if there are a few ways to hone in on some more group round props and more.
Once again, that KO/TKO/DQ number appears far more appetizing. That is because the moneyline again so far out of range. For perspective, an Inoue decision at +450 is much nicer odds than the KO/TKO/DQ (-260). That is something rarely seen and reserved for fighters like Inoue who can make short work of most any opponent. Even that group of Round 7-9 is right at +260. That is not too bad.
Sportsbooks like that as one can loop in that group bet with the Under on rounds. At 9.5, MyBookie rings in at only -121. Maybe that moves back closer to -130 or so by the weekend. The Monster likes to fight often and if that is true, this may feel like a hard warmup to a potential end of year bout. One could argue that Inoue truly is in much better shape compared to May.
If one wants to swing for the fences here, then one choice is to go for the Round 8 or 9 knockout. Both are at +900. Actually rounds 7 and 10 are right there too. The other is probably just going for the exact method of victory. TKO is dead even while the KO is now at +150. It is the latter as opposed to the former which is gaining traction. Believing in Inoue allows us to go for the KO and the under.
Inoue vs Akhmadaliev bets ask can Akhmadaliev shock the rising sun? Anything can happen. Hey, the Baltimore Ravens blew a 15-point lead against Buffalo on Sunday night. Oh wait, Baltimore has done that more often than anyone in the last 10-15 years. Anyway, Akhmadaliev is now +640 on the moneyline at MyBookie. It will be interesting where that lands come early Sunday morning.
Okay, a decision appears to be one of the only options for the fighter from Uzbekistan. Yes, Akhmadaliev has 11 knockouts and has deceptive power from the left side. However, Inoue’s ability to use his offense as a defense may leave him vulnerable but keeps him extremely dangerous. Akhmadaliev has to be so attentive at any and every time.
This fight depends on Akhmadaliev keeping Inoue honest. On the bright side, the loss to Marlon Topales taught some serious lessons. For one, always watch the scorecards. Akhmadaliev did enough to win but two judges said no. Again, the moneyline is the better course of valor in this case.
Inoue vs Akhmadaliev bets take “The Monster” to win by knockout and under 9.5 rounds. Top boxing Vegas odds remain keen on craftiness for Inoue. As for Vegas online betting sites, they feature this fight, the Canelo bout, and naturally the NFL.
Chris Wassel is someone who has covered a little bit of everything: business, writing, sports, food, grilling, the Olympics, injuries, politics, and more. He has climbed mountains like Mount Washington and Mount San Jacinto in Palm Springs, California, and for those who don’t know, he is also big into food challenges. With friends like Joey Chestnut and Casey Webb, Chris has tackled eating feats like finishing a 16-pound turkey or a 32-inch meat lover's pizza. Since 2013, he has focused on fitness, fishing, and sports while managing to fit in running, hiking, rock climbing, and even the occasional mini-triathlon. He can lift more than his body weight with ease and is the person you turn to when you want to know if a NASCAR rain delay means a Monday race. Over his career, Chris has worked at places like Amazon, USA Today, and various rumors and fantasy sports sites. He has been nominated for awards such as the Fantasy Sports Writers Association's Hockey Writer of the Year and has a collection of high-stakes fantasy trophies and rings on display at home. With all this, Chris sums it up best with his motto: "Shut up and play."