It feels hard to believe right now but there are still almost 16 months until the midterm elections next November. That will mark the technical halfway point in the second term of Donald Trump. Yes indeed, bettors have had access to betting action on who will be the winner in 2028 US Midterm election betting since late last year.
Currently, the reality is that Democrats are the strong favorites to flip the House of Representatives of the United States. That honestly should not surprise most people given the nature of politics in this country.
Oddsmakers are setting Democrats to win back the House with a -500 betting line in US midterm election betting for 2026.
Let’s examine those latest 2028 US midterm election bets. Remember, these elections aer a long way off, so these are lines which can definitely change several times between now and November of 2026.
| US Midterm Election Odds |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| House Control | |||
| Republicans | +325 | +300 | +300 |
| Democrats | -500 | -450 | -500 |
| Senate Control | |||
| Republicans | -250 | -275 | -260 |
| Democrats | +175 | +190 | +170 |
Click here for more Las Vegas odds on the presidential election. The page will also answer alls sorts of questions even on midterm elections as well.
With so many contentious races that can heat up at any time, control especially in the House is far more volatile compared to the Senate. When looking at Congress with a crystal ball, one might have a better chances sometimes of predicting the lottery.
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Unfortunatel for Republicans, history is not often on the side of the incumbent party, When it comes to who will control Congress, there is typically some kind of chance during the midterms. If the Republicans maintain their grip on the House and Senate, it will be a rare accomplishment. Since 1942, just two controlling parties have seen a net positive in House seats. Right now, the Republicans hold a tenuous five seat majority.
The first net positive change was during Bill Clinton’s second term (+4) and that was after a 54 seat drop in his first midterm election cycle. George W. Bush saw a +8 seat increase in the House during his first term mostly on the strength of what happened after 9/11. His second term saw a 32 seat drop and the House switched to the Democrats in 2006.
One of the biggest reasons the Republicans are likely to cede control of the House is due to the very volatility in their own party. There is the Freedom Caucus and several other small factions that seem to be doing the work of the Democrats for them. It is not like the Democrats are necessarily doing themselves any favors. However, voters often vote for the change for the sake of change.
Anyway, this is where it gets fun. Could there even be a change in the controlling party of the House in 2025? With six special elections, it is possible that the Democrats could have a slim majority by year’s end. It is a longer shot but BetUS has this listed at +300.
Honestly, this goes beyond the effectiveness of Donald Trump in office. He has control of both the House and Senate right now. Like we mentioned above, that rarely lasts much beyond the first two years of a term. Given how divided this country is, it almost makes too much sense that Congress should see much the same division.
This sets up a highly contentious 2028 Presidential Election. One cannot even begin to imagine how insane that could be with a plethora of candidates from both sides of the political aisle.
Most everyone assumes that Donald Trump wants a line of succession in place after his term. Whether one agrees with this or not, it likely will not involve his family in the way most would expect.
The biggest question is can he keep the Republicans together long enough to get to 2028? Again, things look a good deal stronger in the Senate but far from it in the House. The Senate is controlled by the Republicans by eight seats (53-45) with two Independents.
We are still very early when it comes to the Midterm cycle. There’s more than a full calendar year until Americans again go to the polls to potentially change the party in both chambers of Congress. At this stage you might as well cue up taking that House control to slip to the Democrats this year.
At the moment, with the way the media hammers Donald Trump on everything, it is not a surprise why some form of change feels inevitable. That’s why you should be one might not want to wait on the US Midterm election odds at BetUS. However, anything can and often will happen when it comes to Trump, the media, and the world. It is safe to say there is never a dull moment.
Do not forget that the Democrats have their share of divisions as well. Taking the Republicans to somehow retain control of the House and Senate stands at +325 via Bovada. Finally, the safest bets for the “Red” side is the Senate at -250.
