Home » Las Vegas Odds 2026 » Odds on Presidential Election 2026
The odds on presidential election markets have surged in popularity, with offshore sportsbooks reporting record levels of presidential election betting during the previous cycle. Early signs suggest that odds on presidential election 2028 could surpass those numbers again, as interest in election betting continues to climb.
The 2028 race is already shaping up to be one of the most unpredictable in decades. Donald Trump is currently serving his second administration and, unless the rules change, cannot seek a third term in 2028. That opens the field dramatically, giving both major parties a rare opportunity to redefine their direction.
Historical patterns offer little certainty. Although the Democratic Party has existed longer than the Republican Party, it has produced only 15 presidents. And with presidential election betting markets shifting constantly, everything from economic performance and international conflicts to political scandal can affect a candidate’s momentum. Meanwhile, bettors tracking the landscape can also find updated futures odds on the 2028 US presidential election outcome here:
| Presidential Election 2028 Odds | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
| JD Vance | +350 | +350 | +350 |
| Michelle Obama | +600 | +620 | +600 |
| Gavin Newsom | +700 | +700 | +800 |
| Ron DeSantis | +1000 | +1000 | +1000 |
| Date | Event |
|---|---|
| February 5, 2028 | Iowa Caucuses |
| February 6, 2028 | New Hampshire Primary |
| March 7, 2028 | Super Tuesday (Multiple State Primaries) |
| June 2028 | Final Primary Elections |
| July 2028 | Democratic National Convention |
| August 2028 | Republican National Convention |
| September 2028 | First Presidential Debate |
| October 2028 | Additional Presidential and VP Debates |
| November 7, 2028 | Election Day |
| December 18, 2028 | Electoral College Votes Cast |
| January 6, 2029 | Electoral Votes Counted in Congress |
| January 20, 2029 | Presidential Inauguration |
With the next presidential election still a couple of years away, the political landscape remains fluid, and early election odds continue to shift as potential contenders test their national appeal. President Donald Trump is in his second administration, and because he cannot run again under current rules, the Republican field is unusually open. Much of the early attention is on rising figures like JD Vance, whose movements in the odds are drawing interest from analysts and election bettors alike. It also remains to be seen whether Trump will issue an endorsement and, if he does, whether that backing will ultimately help or hinder a candidate in 2028.
On the Democratic side, the party is recalibrating without Kamala Harris in the vice-presidential role, and the search for a strong standard-bearer is well underway. Both parties are preparing for a competitive map dominated by perennial battlegrounds such as Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, and Wisconsin. These states, along with shifting territories like Ohio and Texas, are expected to play an outsized role in determining the Electoral College balance.
Down-ballot contests, including Senate and gubernatorial races, are also shaping the broader narrative. Candidates like JD Vance in Ohio and Tim Walz in Minnesota continue to influence national discussion, while reliably blue states such as Maryland, Massachusetts, Illinois, and Vermont are projected to hold steady. Deep-red states like West Virginia remain firm Republican territory, keeping the strategic emphasis on swing regions where even small voter shifts can alter the trajectory of the race.
As campaigning ramps up, analysts are tracking performance across diverse regions, from the industrial Midwest to the fast-growing Sun Belt. Iowa’s caucuses will again serve as an early test of grassroots enthusiasm, while issues such as economic stability, healthcare access, and immigration policy are expected to shape voter sentiment nationwide. With so many variables still in motion, the run-up to 2028 promises constant movement in both polling and betting markets.
When it comes to betting on the US Presidential election, selecting a reliable sportsbook is crucial for an enjoyable and informed wagering experience.
BetUS has established itself as a popular destination for political bettors, offering a wide variety of markets related to the US Presidential election. Known for its competitive odds and attractive bonuses, BetUS provides a comprehensive platform where bettors can wager on various election outcomes, including candidate performances and state-level results. The sportsbook also features a user-friendly interface and responsive customer service, making it an excellent choice for both novice and experienced bettors.
Bovada is a well-respected name in the online betting community, particularly for its extensive political betting options during election seasons. With a reputation for reliability and a user-friendly interface, Bovada offers various markets, including odds on presidential candidates and election day outcomes. The platform is also known for its generous promotions and in-depth betting analysis, making it an ideal choice for those looking to engage with the political landscape.
MyBookie has quickly become a favorite among political bettors due to its diverse selection of betting markets and attractive promotional offers. This sportsbook covers a wide range of political events, including presidential elections, gubernatorial races, and key congressional contests. MyBookie’s competitive odds, coupled with a straightforward betting interface and excellent customer support, provide a solid betting experience for those interested in US political events.
During the first Trump administration, U.K. bookmakers saw some of the biggest political wagers ever placed. One high-profile example involved a woman who staked more than $650,000 on Hillary Clinton to win. At the same time, another London bettor backed Donald Trump with a $265,000 ticket. When Trump shocked the world on election night, that wager paid out close to $1 million.
Stories like these highlight just how unpredictable the market can be — and why political betting opportunities continue to attract both casual bettors and serious speculators. The odds for the next American president reflect a long, fascinating history: since Abraham Lincoln’s 1861 victory, 19 Republicans have occupied the White House.
As voters look ahead to 2028, the race is wide open and the pricing is shifting quickly, with updated odds available through BetOnline. Beyond the presidential race itself, bettors are increasingly exploring new angles, from candidate-specific props to emerging markets tied to the 2028 Senate contests. With more lines appearing as November draws closer, election season is becoming one of the most dynamic wagering periods on the calendar.
The 2028 presidential election odds from Las Vegas illustrate just how competitive the field has become. With no clear frontrunner, pricing is spread across a wide range of contenders. JD Vance currently leads the pack at +225, followed by Gavin Newsom at +350 and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at +900. Further down the board, Donald Trump Sr. sits at +1000, while Pete Buttigieg, Donald Trump Jr., and Marco Rubio are each available at longer prices.
To put the numbers into perspective, a $100 bet on Vance at +225 would return $325 ($100 stake + $225 profit). The same wager on Trump Sr. at +1000 would return $1,100, while a long shot such as Jared Kushner or Wes Moore at +3300 would return $3,400 on a winning $100 ticket.
The market runs deep, with a tight cluster of candidates all hovering around +2000 to +2800 — including Kamala Harris, Ivanka Trump, Gretchen Whitmer, Andy Beshear, Josh Shapiro, and Ron DeSantis. These mid-tier odds reflect uncertainty about how the race will evolve as debates, fundraising cycles, and party positioning begin to shape voter sentiment.
For bettors looking for a steadier angle, many prefer wagering on the winning party rather than a specific nominee. Party-price markets tend to move more gradually, offering a different way to read the race as coalition strength and national polling shift over time.
As the November 2028 election approaches, these odds will continue to fluctuate. Candidates may surge, stumble, or drop out entirely, and unexpected events can reshape the political landscape overnight. Whatever number you take, remember: once your bet is placed, your odds are locked in — making timing a key part of any election-wagering strategy.
The types of odds will vary from market to market; from the odds to be the next president to the odds on election betting, it varies a lot – and that’s without mentioning political prop betting! Election betting is very popular during certain periods of the year, but right now it’s all about the presidential election. Either way, here’s a breakdown of the lot to make things easier for you:
This bet will involve beating a spread relating to the number of electoral votes, which is based on the Electoral College structure within the election process. To become president, a candidate must receive a majority of the electoral votes (since 1964, 270 of the 538 electoral votes).
In this type of bet, you are trying to determine if a candidate will come in over or under a specific number of predicted votes. The odds and amount of votes will vary from candidate to candidate and are based on that individual’s standing within the election.
Money line odds covering the primaries will be offered for each party represented in the election. You are betting on who will win the nomination from each political party. It is not uncommon to see the handicapped and over/under options available for presidential party primary betting lines leading up to Election Day.
An election is won state by state. Here, odds are offered for a particular candidate to win a specific state from New York to California and Alaska to Florida. As the election progresses, the number of betting lines and odds covering specific state results increases to include smaller states.
A candidate can win the popular vote and still lose the election. We saw this when Hillary Clinton beat Barack Obama in the primary for the popular vote but lost to him when it came down to the Electoral College count. When you’re betting on the popular vote, you need to figure out who is most favored by the voters rather than who is going to earn the highest Electoral College count.
To qualify for the presidency, a candidate must meet three constitutional requirements: be at least 35 years old, have lived in the United States for a minimum of 14 years, and be a natural-born U.S. citizen.
John F. Kennedy remains the youngest elected president at age 43. For many years, Ronald Reagan held the record as the oldest, winning his second term at 73. However, Donald Trump surpassed that milestone when he was elected to his second (non-consecutive) administration at age 78, making him the oldest president ever elected.
More than 200 women have run for president throughout U.S. history, according to PBS — most representing minor parties or running before women gained the right to vote. Hillary Clinton became the first woman to receive a major-party nomination when Democrats selected her in 2016, a milestone that helped pave the way for other prominent female contenders such as Kamala Harris, who has since become one of the most influential women in modern U.S. politics.
The 2000 election remains one of the most disputed in recent history. Al Gore won the national popular vote, but the outcome ultimately depended on Florida’s razor-thin margin. After weeks of recounts and legal challenges, the U.S. Supreme Court halted the process, awarding Florida’s 25 electoral votes to George W. Bush and giving him a 271–255 Electoral College victory.
Betting on who will win the Democrat nomination is as old as the election itself. With today’s statistical tools, scientific polls, and social media, it should be easier than ever to make an accurate prediction of who will come out on top in the Democratic primary. Top online gaming sites — like Bovada, BetUS, and Betonline — offer a list of prop bets on the primary.
Some of those money line wagers include:
In addition to these various betting lines, you will also find additional bet variations online, such as handicapping and over/under bets.
No federal gambling laws prohibit U.S. residents who are 21 years old or older from participating in legally licensed and regulated online betting that is offered by online sportsbooks that are located outside of the United States.
Unless you live in the state of Washington, there are no state laws to stop you from betting on who will win the Democrat nomination or any other part of the U.S. election at legal offshore sportsbooks.
Licensed offshore betting sites are embracing the popularity of political platforms, polling, and predictions.
They offer the biggest variety of wagering options ever and gamblers are jumping on the bandwagon, whether it’s involving the Democrats or Republicans.
Donald Trump certainly didn’t start out as the frontrunner in the 2016 Republican primary. The favorites included Chris Christie, Jeb Bush, and Scott Walker. Trump eventually worked his way to the top in what was just the beginning of his many surprises on the way to the White House.
Betting on the primary is just one of the betting options for a Republican candidate. Here is a list of some of the others:
In addition to these various betting lines, you will also find additional bet variations online, such as handicapping and over/under bets.
Like the Kentucky Derby, there will be a lot of horses in all of these races. The billionaire businessman from New York proved in 2016 that you don’t have to be the favorite to reach the winner’s circle.
Long before the political betting odds really heat up, there are a variety of Futures available. If you bet on Donald Trump to be president for two terms, you’d be feeling pretty good going into the November election. A futures bet constitutes an event that takes place in the future – it’s as simple as that.
Political prop bets are becoming increasingly popular, as the demand for a broader range of betting odds grows. Prop bets offer a unique market, a kind of game within the game. Will Donald Trump be impeached? What color will Ivanka Trump wear at Thanksgiving? Expect to see these types of prop bets in political betting.
Principally, there are two types of elections in the U.S. political system – those are primary elections and general elections. The primary elections are there to nominate someone to run in the general elections, which is followed by general elections held to choose among candidates nominated in a primary for federal, local or state office positions.
Very much so. In fact, in recent years political betting has been on the rise, with bettors across the globe betting on the outcomes of their own nations as well as looking at international markets. The popularity and drama surrounding U.S. politics, draws in bettors worldwide.
How often are general elections?General elections come around once every four years. A president is allowed to stay in office for 2 terms, which is 2 consecutive four-year terms. There are a number of primaries and general elections to keep entertained in between the presidential elections.
What is a caucus?A caucus is a local meeting where registered members of a political party in a town, city or county gather to vote for their preferred party candidate and conduct other party business. They are normally used in combination with a state convention to elect delegates for the possibility of presidential elections.
What are midterm elections?The midterm elections are there to establish congressional representatives. They aren’t in place to elect a president. Every couple of years Americans must elect members for the U.S. House of Representatives to two-year terms and one about on-third of the U.S. senators serve six-year terms. Voters are also responsible for selecting officials to state and local government posts.
When are primary elections held?The dates for primary elections or caucuses are always decided by state and local governments. As such, it’s important how early candidates begin campaigning and how they decide to spend their campaign funds, in both primary and general elections.
How many parties are involved in elections?The U.S. government has a dated system, meaning that although the country is quite young there are still only two political parties. These are the Democrats and Republicans.
How old do you have to be to vote?In order to take part in elections, American citizens must be 18 years or older to be able to register to vote. Votes must be cast before the deadline and meet state requirements regarding the method of voting.
What is the Electoral College?Another very important part of U.S. politics, the Electoral College is a group designated by states to cast votes on behalf of the citizens of the state. These votes contribute during the U.S. elections and are very important. The members of the Electoral College are chosen on the day of the general election.
When are general elections held?General elections are always held on the first Tuesday after the first Monday of November. For the 2028 elections they will be held on the 5th of November.
Bob Duff has been covering the online sports betting and casino industry since 2016. From major sporting events such as the NFL, NBA, MLB, UFC, NHL, Olympic Games and UEFA Champions League soccer, he’s also offered betting advice on such sports as chess, surfing, rugby and even marble racing. Duff has worked in the sports media industry since 1984. As a sports columnist with The Windsor Star, CanWest News Services, Postmedia and MSNBC.com, he covered a variety of major events, including the Stanley Cup final, World Cup of Hockey, Super Bowl, World Series, the 1996 Atlanta and 2008 Beijing Summer Olympic Games, NBA Finals, Ryder Cup, FIFA World Cup, NCAA Final Four and the Memorial Cup. Duff is partners in Detroit Hockey Now, a Detroit Red Wings web site. He is also the co-producer of the Give And Go Sport Education documentary that discusses the advantages of a multi-sport lifestyle in youth sport. He has also freelanced for such publications as The Hockey News, Beckett Hockey, Faceoff and Prospects Magazine. Duff is a contributor to The NHL Guide And Record Book, and Total Hockey, helped the NHL significantly in writing and research projects related to the league's 100th anniversary celebrations, and is listed as an honorary member of the Elias Sports Bureau. He is a member of the Professional Hockey Writers Association and the Baseball Writers Association Of America, through which he is on the writers’ committee that votes annually on the candidates for the Baseball Hall of Fame. As well, he is a published author of more than 25 books. Duff's books include The China Wall: The Timeless Legend of Johnny Bower; The Bruise Brothers: Hockey's Heavyweight Champions; Nicklas Lidstrom: The Pursuit of Perfection; Nine: A Tribute To Gordie Howe; Nineteen: A Tribute To Steve Yzerman; Seven: A Tribute to Ted Lindsay; and The History of Hockeytown; and I Wore 21: The Desmond Howard Story. Duff doesn’t merely write about sports, he plays them. He was an ice hockey goalie for 50 years, once famously winning a charity penalty shot shootout competition against NHL star Jason Spezza, and still plays rugby in the Niagara Rugby Union for Windsor Rogues RFC.