UFC Vegas 75 is set to take place on Saturday night as the renowned mixed martial arts organization returns to the Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada.
We’ve got three fights we will break down from the event. The first one is the lightweight bout between Manuel Torres and Nikolas Motta. Torres is the slight favorite and brings in a 13-2 record while Motta has a 13-4 record.
Lightweight: Manuel Torres vs. Nikolas Motta
Torres, a formidable and powerful Lightweight, is known for his aggressive and overwhelming style. His recent track record speaks for itself, with his last four victories coming in under eight minutes combined. Surprisingly, despite his striking-first approach, Torres has equal wins via submission as he does via strikes.
On the other hand, Motta is a dedicated sprawl-and-brawl fighter. He excels in crisp kickboxing, capable of launching forward flurries or patiently countering his opponents. With nine knockout victories to his name, Motta possesses undeniable striking power.
This matchup presents an intriguing clash of styles. Torres, being the larger and stronger fighter, is likely to come out swinging early and landing heavy shots. This aggression often leads to quick finishes for him.
Additionally, considering Torres’ proficiency on the ground and Motta’s vulnerability to submissions, the grappling aspect could provide another avenue to victory for Torres.
However, Motta’s experience and counter-punching ability cannot be overlooked. He becomes increasingly dangerous as the fight progresses, and his seasoned background could play a significant role if the bout goes into the later rounds.
Unfortunately for Motta, his defensive skills might not be enough to withstand Torres’ finishing abilities. Torres has a knack for ending fights, and Motta has been on the receiving end of finishes quite frequently.
Sometimes, the outcome can be as simple as that.
I would recommend betting on Torres to win this fight at -180 on Bovada.
Featherweight: Pat Sabatini vs. Lucas Almeida
Sabatini showcases exceptional grappling skills, with sharp takedown transitions and effective control on the ground. Once the fight hits the canvas, he excels at maneuvering and advancing his position. His proficiency has led to 10 submission victories, along with a couple of wins via strikes.
Almeida, on the other hand, arrived in the UFC already possessing a polished skill set. As a former Jungle Fight champion, the 32-year-old Brazilian is known for his punishing Muay Thai style. He has a knack for knockout finishes and displayed impressive combination striking in his UFC debut.
If the fight remains standing for an extended period, Almeida is likely to outclass Sabatini, especially considering the latter’s recent loss to Damon Jackson.
However, Almeida faces a challenge in the form of Sabatini’s ground game, which he may have yet to encounter. Sabatini, a regional champion with a well-rounded skill set, poses a unique threat.
It’s a compelling matchup, but once Sabatini secures a takedown, his success is likely to build momentum. On the other hand, Almeida needs to land a significant strike to disrupt that pattern.
However, if he finds himself stuck on his back and fatigued, it becomes increasingly unlikely for him to land that decisive blow.
I would bet on Savatini to win this fight at -195 odds at Bovada. The implied odds are around 66% which feels like a safe bet.
Middleweight: Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Armen Petrosyan
In his first UFC victory in March, Christian Leroy Duncan, unfortunately, didn’t achieve the desired outcome as his opponent, Dusko Todorovic, suffered a knee injury in the first round. Nonetheless, the British fighter demonstrated promise during the 1 minute and 52 seconds they spent in the cage.
On the other hand, Petrosyan holds a 2-1 record in the UFC and can potentially become a borderline top-15 fighter in the future.
Both Duncan and Petrosyan possess impressive striking skills, but Duncan stands out with his power and superior defensive abilities. There are concerns about Petrosyan’s chin and cardio, as he tends to slow down as fights progress. Additionally, Duncan seems to have an advantage in the ground game.
While my opinion may differ from others, I believe this fight will go the distance. Duncan will land the more effective shots and mix in takedowns, ultimately securing a decision victory.
I would bet on Duncan to win this fight at -155 at Bovada. The implied odds are a little north of 60% and I agree with the oddsmakers on this one.
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