Merab Dvalishvili will defend his bantamweight title against Sean O’Malley on Saturday night as the UFC returns to the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey for the third consecutive spring.
Can O’Malley avenge his UFC 306 loss to his opponent on Saturday? According to the best online betting sites, Dvalishvili is favored to win his second title defense of his bantamweight championship belt. Here’s how the odds shake out:
 | Win | Rounds |
|---|---|---|
| Merab Dvalishvili | -270 | O 4.5 (-300) |
| Sean O'Malley | +220 | U 4.5 (+220) |
Merab Dvalishvili dominated Sean O’Malley in the Octagon just nine months ago, winning a clear decision to take the championship from his opponent. Already known as one of the best bantamweights ever, Dvalishvili enters the ring on a 12-fight win streak. Unbeaten since opening his career with two losses, the 34-year-old Georgian defended his belt earlier this year against Umar Nurmagomedov.
Looking to reclaim his title, O’Malley has quit smoking weed and taken a vow of celibacy. The 30-year-old was also injured during his first bout with Dvalishvili, suffering from a torn labrum.
The top UFC betting sites have Dvalishvili as a -270 favorite in Saturday’s main event while O’Malley is paying out at +220 odds to reclaim his first championship. The over/under is set at 4.5 rounds with significant juice (-300) towards the OVER.
How much did the injury impact O’Malley at UFC 306? “Suga” was noticeably hesitant until the fifth round, when he stung Dvalishvili late. With no excuses left, the scrappy American will likely have to move up to the 145-pound division if he loses again.
With the juice (-300) pointing heavily towards OVER 4.5 rounds, it’s no surprise that most expect the fight to go the distance (-260).
Dvalishvili has just one victory by stoppage in 14 trips to the Octagon, so it’s almost safe to say this one will go to decision. The reigning bantamweight champion has weaponized his conditioning, wearing down his opponents with some of the best cardio in UFC history.
However, 13 of O’Malley’s 18 career wins have come by KO/TKO (11) or submission (2). If you like “Suga” to regain his bely, there’s value in picking the fight to not go the distance at +190 or the OVER 4.5 rounds at +220
If you’re looking for additional value, you can also pick what round the winning fighter will seal the deal.
| Round Betting | |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Merab Dvalishvili - Round 1 | +1800 | +1800 | +1800 |
| Sean O'Malley - Round 1 | +1400 | +1400 | +1400 |
| Merab Dvalishvili - Round 2 | +1800 | +1800 | +1800 |
| Sean O'Malley - Round 2 | +1600 | +1600 | +1600 |
| Merab Dvalishvili - Round 3 | +2000 | +2000 | +2000 |
| Sean O'Malley - Round 3 | +1800 | +1800 | +1800 |
| Merab Dvalishvili - Round 4 | +2500 | +2500 | +2500 |
| Sean O'Malley - Round 4 | +2000 | +2000 | +2000 |
| Merab Dvalishvili - Round 5 | +3000 | +3000 | +3000 |
| Sean O'Malley - Round 5 | +2500 | +2500 | +2500 |
| Merab Dvalishvili - By Points | -164 | -164 | -164 |
| Sean O'Malley - By Points | +600 | +600 | +600 |
| Draw | +8000 | +8000 | +8000 |
Dvalishvili by points (-164) is the way to bet this fight if you like The Machine to win his 13th straight match and second title defense, as he didn’t really threaten O’Malley in their first bout.
As the reigning bantamweight champion is known for his cardio, O’Malley’s odds to win get longer by each round, going from +1400 to win in Round 1 all the way to +2500 in Round 5.
Need a trusted place to get your bets in on Dvalishvili vs O’Malley 2? Hit one of the bookmakers listed below. All these sites have bettor-friendly Las Vegas odds for all the fights on the UFC 316 card so you’re not leaving money on the table!
