Belal Muhammad will defend his welterweight title against Jack Della Maddalena on Saturday night as the UFC returns to Montreal for the first time in a decade.
Who will be victorious on Saturday night? According to the best online betting sites, Muhammad is favored to win his first ever defense of his UFC welterweight title. Here’s how the odds shake out:
 | Win | Rounds |
|---|---|---|
| Belal Muhammad | -172 | O 4.5 (-200) |
| Jack Della Maddalena | +147 | U 4.5 (+150) |
Belal Muhammad dominated Leon Edwards in Manchester last summer to claim the belt and bring it back to his hometown of Chicago. The 36-year-old is unbeaten in his last 11 fights with six straight victories.
A member of the Dana White’s Contender Series (DWCS) Class of ’21, Jack Della Maddalena is 7-0 in the Octagon with five finishes. Looking to become just the third Australian to hold UFC gold, the 28-year-old Australian is coming off a series of tight wins over Bassil Hafez, Kevin Holland and Gilbert Burns.
The top UFC betting sites have Muhammad as a -172 favorite, while Della Maddalena is paying out at +147 odds to win his first championship. The over/under is set at 4.5 rounds with significant juice (-200) towards the OVER.
This is setting up as a classic “grappler vs striker” battle. Muhammad is a gritty takedown artist who combines his martial arts skills with underrated boxing, while Della Maddalena can string together long combinations of jabs and body kicks.
If you’re looking for more betting value, you can also wager on the method of victory.
| Alternate Method of Victory |  | |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Wins by KO | TKO or DQ | +800 | +800 |
| Della Maddalena Wins by KO | TKO or DQ | +325 | +325 |
| Muhammad Wins by Submission | +650 | +650 | +650 |
| Della Maddalena Wins by Submission | +1600 | +1600 | +1600 |
| Muhammad by Decision or Tech Decision | EVEN | EVEN | EVEN |
| Della Maddalena by Decision or Tech Decision | +500 | +500 | +500 |
Muhammad is EVEN money to win the bout by decision or technical decision, which makes sense when you consider 75% of his career victories have come by decision. “Remember the Name” is +650 to win by submission and +800 to win by KO, TKO or DQ.
Della Maddalena is +325 to take the bout by KO, TKO or DQ. The Australian has won 71% of his career fights by KO/TKO, averaging 1.64 knockdowns per 15 minutes. He’s +500 to win by decision/technical decision and +1600 to be victorious by submission.
If you’re looking for additional value, you can also pick what round the winning fighter will seal the deal.
| Round Betting | | | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belal Muhammad - Round 1 | +1600 | +1600 | +1600 |
| Jack Della Maddalena - Round 1 | +1000 | +1000 | +1000 |
| Belal Muhammad - Round 2 | +1800 | +1800 | +1800 |
| Jack Della Maddalena - Round 2 | +1100 | +1100 | +1100 |
| Belal Muhammad - Round 3 | +2000 | +2000 | +2000 |
| Jack Della Maddalena - Round 3 | +1400 | +1400 | +1400 |
| Belal Muhammad - Round 4 | +2500 | +2500 | +2500 |
| Jack Della Maddalena - Round 4 | +1600 | +1600 | +1600 |
| Belal Muhammad - Round 5 | +3300 | +3300 | +3300 |
| Jack Della Maddalena - Round 5 | +2200 | +2200 | +2200 |
| Belal Muhammad - By Points | -106 | -106 | -106 |
| Jack Della Maddalena - By Points | +450 | +450 | +450 |
| Draw | +8000 | +8000 | +8000 |
Muhammad winning by points (-106) is the expected outcome of Saturday’s main event in Montreal, with Della Maddalena at +450 odds to win on points. Picking Muhammad to win in any round from 1 to 5 is available at long odds, but it’s possible if he can slip in a shot and get to the Australian’s hips.
Della Maddalena is at +1000 to win in Round 1, with his odds of victory increasingly getting longer every round the fight goes with +2200 odds in Round 5. Stringing together long combinations and mixing in kicks will be crucial for his chances.
Need a trusted place to get your bets in on Muhammad vs Della Maddalena? Hit one of the bookmakers listed below. All these sites have bettor-friendly Las Vegas odds for all the fights on the UFC 315 card so you’re not leaving money on the table!
