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F1 Picks: Verstappen Odds On to win his home Dutch Grand Prix
Updated September 1, 2022
Round 15 of the 22-race schedule is upon us, and with Max Verstappen dominating the current Formula 1 season, we look at the chances of anybody stopping him this weekend in our free 2022 Dutch Grand Prix betting picks.
Max Verstappen is now 93 points clear of his Red Bull teammate, Sergio Perez, and 98 clear of Ferreri’s Charles Leclerc. Last weekend in Belgium, he started from 14th position on the grid and still won the race by over 17 seconds.
Max Verstappen is dominating the sport of Formula 1 at the moment, and he is just cantering to his second F1 world title. In the Formula 1 betting to win the 2022 World Championship, he is -3300 with the Vegas odds setters. His closest rival (in the betting, at least) is Charles Leclerc at +1200.
A shock is simply not going to happen. Verstappen is too good, and Leclerc has shown himself to be too error-prone this season.
2022 Dutch Grand Prix; All You Need To Know
The race has an excellent early morning start for all of us on Eastern Time, with a 9 am Sunday morning breakfast call (2 pm local time). The drivers will be racing at the picturesque CM.com circuit in Zandvoort, a seaside town about 30 minutes from Amsterdam.
First held in 1948, the race only returned to the F1 calendar in 2021. This was after being dropped from the roster in 1985. Who won last year? Yes, Max Verstappen. The current world champion also took Pole Position.
What; 2022 Dutch Grand Prix
Where; CM.com Circuit, Zandvoort, Netherlands
When; Sunday, September 4th, 2022
Time; 9 am ET
Race Length; 190.5 Miles
The circuit has 14 turns and, at 2.6 miles long, is one of the shorter tracks on the roster. It also has more gravel beds than runoff areas, meaning mistakes by drivers will be punished. Rain is in the air the days before and after the race. It is expected to be clear on Sunday, but don’t rule out interference from the skies above.
Who Is Favorite To Win the 2022 Dutch Grand Prix?
Well, who is the favorite to win every Grand Prix these days? It is Max Verstappen. The only question about the double-world champion elect is what odds he will win!
Well, for this race, he is very short; +175 is the best I’ve seen, with some of the best sportsbooks pricing Verstappen up at -200 to win in Zandvoort.
There are numerous reasons for this.
One; such is Verstappen’s dominance this season; his odds to win have been shortening weekly. A few weeks ago, he was even money for most races when he had a better than 50% win rate. So that was never going to continue.
Two; It’s the Dutchman’s home Grand Prix, and as we’ve seen over the past few years, Verstappen already has a huge following in his homeland, and he will want to put on a show for his adoring fans.
Three; He won here last year.
Elsewhere, the Formula 1 odds on the 2022 Dutch Grand Prix see Charles Leclerc as the second favorite. Leclerc was vying with Verstappen for the favorites tag for a good few of the early season races, but with just three wins from 14 races and in a competitive car, Leclerc has seriously underachieved this season.
That said, he does remain the best alternative bet to Verstappen (nine wins this season), and due to the shortening of Verstappen’s odds, Leclerc is bizarrely becoming a value bet.
Outside of the two main contenders, BetUS make Sergio Perez their +1000 third favorite. After the Mexican, they have Carlos Sainz at +1400 and Lewis Hamilton at +1600.
It does vary from sportsbook to sportsbook on the odds for those three, so it might be worth shopping around for the best price if you’re considering backing any of the outsiders. Our top Vegas online betting sites page has plenty more options for you to choose from.
2022 Dutch Grand Prix Betting Picks
It’s too obvious to pick Max Verstappen to win, and absolutely anybody could call that. I’m not going to try and convince anybody not to wager on him to win his home Grand Prix this weekend, as it’s probably going to happen.
At odds of -175, I’m not backing him! Why? Well, he’s too short, and by the law of averages, he may be due a slip-up. It’s also his home Grand Prix, and everybody expects him to walk to victory. So, for those reasons, I’m leaving him.
As I alluded to earlier in the article, the error-prone Charles Leclerc is almost becoming a value bet now. At +400, is he worth a small wager? Maybe. But I’m avoiding him.
Instead, I’m going for a couple of long shots at value prices. Sergio Perez at +1000 and Carlos Sainz at +1400. Both have won once this season, and I can see one of them winning again. But don’t bet big on this. We all know what will probably happen!
I’m also going for a top 3 finish for George Russell. The Mercedes driver has been in the top 4 in all of his last four races, with two podium finishes and two fourth places. I’m taking the British driver to finish on the podium at +225 for one of my F1 picks.
Dean has a strong affinity for the English Premier League and cricket, but his extensive understanding of sports allows him to discuss a wide range of athletic topics. Previously, Dean has explored the world to attend events such as the FIFA World Cup and Ashes cricket matches, but currently, he prefers to enjoy sports from the coziness of his home.