The Super Welterweights duke it out in Gold Coast, Australia, this October 15th. Tim Tsyzu and Brian Mendoza get it on. This bout gets top billing on Showtime Boxing in the United States. The two fighters both need a convincing victory. This bout figures to start around 12:00 am ET from Australia. Can Tsyzu notch another knockout in the Super Welterweight Boxing Picks?
Numbers were easy to find, thanks to the best online boxing betting sites.
| Tszyu vs Mendoza Odds |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Tszyu | -650 | -600 | -769 |
| Brian Mendoza | +400 | +400 | +415 |
| Over 9.5 Rounds | +105 | +115 | +114 |
| Under 9.5 Rounds | -135 | -145 | -143 |
Okay, what does Tszyu need to do next Saturday? Of course, this depends on whom you ask. Some believe the Australian needs to knock out Brian Mendoza convincingly. Right now, the WBO belt holder (as of September 30th) wants to fight for more belts. However, injuries and pecking orders have kept the 28-year-old from further rising up the ranks.
Bluntly, Mendoza does not move the needle much. The fighter is the interim WBC Super Welterweight Champion. However, his rankings in the organizations are not all that impressive. The American from Albuquerque, New Mexico, is 22-2 with 16 KO’s. He knocked out Sebastian Fundora in stunning fashion. Few expected that to happen. When several things fell through, he got the opportunity to go up against Tszyu.
This undercard starts at 9:00 pm ET. More than likely, the fight will begin around or just after Midnight on the East Coast of the United States. It is interesting to note that both fighters have knockout streaks. Tszyu is at two, while Mendoza is now at three. Now, that adds to the chances of a knockout, but in what round? That is the $64,000 question.
This weight class comes in with a maximum of 154 pounds. These two fighters are right around 154 pounds, by the way. Tsyzu holds a one-inch reach advantage, while Mendoza has a one-inch height advantage. The winner moves up a little further on the championship fight ladder. Tszyu believes he has to win this by an emphatic knockout. Now, Super Welterweight Boxing Picks surprise some by agreeing with the Australian.
Does anyone think this fight is going 12 rounds? That answer is absolutely not. Could it happen? Yes. The Under of 9.5 rounds is shifting outward to around -135 to -145. Honestly, the Over at 9.5 rounds remains in plus territory and a decision rumbles in around +165 to +175. Tszyu wants to use the home crowd, but more importantly, his speed and power to corner Mendoza early and often.
Showtime’s early lead-ups to the fight kind of speculated about what might happen next. Interviews with Tszyu have been respectful. The Australian understands to take nothing for granted. However, can he practice what he preaches? Both fighters use an Orthodox stance, so Tszyu should see most of what is coming. There are no funky angles to expect. Mendoza tends to fight mostly straight away, which seems to set up well.
Yes, Tszyu wants to go up in fight prestige. On the other hand, the Jermell Charlo fight never happened in the summer because of a hand injury. To be fair, the Australian has had his share of injuries. However, he has been mostly healthy in 2023. Taking Tsyzu in less than nine rounds again in the Super Welterweight Boxing Picks, along with a prop or two, is reasonable.
Is Brian Mendoza a candidate to pull off the upset here? The American won 22 of his first 24 fights, with 16 coming by some form of knockout. Again, he found a way to surprise his last two opponents and now finds himself heading to the Southern Hemisphere with a chance to shock the world next weekend. His power is deceptive enough. Does he have to catch Tszyu early to have an opportunity for glory?
Right, the Super Welterweight Boxing Picks rank Mendoza as a +400 to +420 underdog to win on the moneyline against Tim Tszyu. It is understandable. Part of that reason lies in the idea that Mendoza lost two fights when he should have won. That Mendoza loss created a reputation the American has not been able to shake. Whether that is fair or not remains to be seen.
Brian Mendoza possesses enough power to win against Tszyu potentially. Again, the problem is whether the Australian allows him enough openings to make this reality possible. Mendoza seems to have to win this one by knockout. For those wondering, Mendoza is +419 to win at MyBookie and +855 to win by knockout. If a bettor thinks they want to side with the American, sprinkling a few dollars on the win by knockout may be an even better plan.
Boxing prop time for September 15th enjoys some intriguing Vegas online boxing odds. The Under 8.5 round prop rolls in at -115, and even the Under of 7.5 at +115 is not outrageous. Considering Tszyu took out Carlos Ocampo in 77 seconds, anything can happen.
So, what about a knockout in the middle rounds? Sprinkling a little money on a knockout between Rounds 7-9 is currently listed at +320 on MyBookie. That is not a bad number.
Super Welterweight boxing picks take Tszyu to dispose of Mendoza.
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