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Real Madrid a Heavy Favorite Against Osasuna in Copa del Rey Final
Updated May 1, 2023
What: Copa del Rey final – Real Madrid vs Osasuna
Where: Estadio de La Cartuja, Sevilla, Spain
When: Saturday, May 6th
The 2023 Copa del Rey title is up for grabs on Saturday, May 6th as 19-time winners Real Madrid lock horns with Osasuna, who have never lifted the ultimate prize. The kick-off is scheduled for 4 PM ET. Los Blancos cruised through to the final with a dominant 4-0 victory over Barcelona in the second leg in early April, while Osasuna beat Athletic Club 2-1 on aggregate. Keep reading for the Real Madrid vs Osasuna picks.
By no surprise, Madrid is a massive favorite with -275 moneyline odds at Bovada online sportsbook and Everygame sportsbook for an implied win probability of 73.33%. Osasuna comes back at +650 with a mere 13.33% chance of coming out victorious. Los Blancos has won three of the last five meetings with their Copa del Rey opponents. The other two matches ended level.
The La Liga title continues to look like a pipe dream for Real, who sit 11 points back of Barcelona, who are absolutely cruising domestically. However, Carlo Ancelotti’s men have the opportunity to win a double regardless. They’re in the Champions League semifinals later this month against Manchester City, while a 20th Copa del Rey trophy is very much a possibility on Saturday.
Madrid took care of both Atletico and Barca in the last two rounds of this competition, beating their city foes 3-1 in the quarterfinals before disposing of the Catalans in the semis. Los Blancos will play on Tuesday in La Liga against Real Sociedad but are in relatively decent form, winning 4-2 at the weekend versus Almeria, their fifth victory in the last six. Karim Benzema was the star of the show, bagging a first-half hat trick.
Osasuna is a Cinderella story of some sort, making its first appearance in a final since the 2004-2005 season. While they do sit in eighth place in La Liga, this is not a club that typically finds itself at the latter stages of the Spanish Cup. It wasn’t an easy road for Los Rojillos either, eliminating Europa semifinalists Sevilla, Real Betis, and Athletic Bilbao along the way.
It took extra time to move past Bilbao last month, with Pablo Ibanez scoring what proved to be the winner for them in the 116th minute. As for current form, Osasuna just suffered a 2-0 defeat to Sociedad on Friday and will face Barcelona Tuesday, another daunting fixture before they clash with Madrid this weekend.
Real Madrid vs Osasuna Picks
With the league title basically out of reach, Los Blancos will be focused on winning an important piece of hardware. I believe they will win this fixture.
Real Madrid moneylineVs Osasuna in Copa del Rey Final