Okay, summer is here! Vegas Betting has looked at events like the Berlin Film Festival and even The Amazing Race. Now, we shift from the big screen to the smaller screen in your living room. for the 2024 Nathan’s Hot Dog Bets. Bovada Vegas online sportsbook comes out with some early numbers for this event. With the field options, there lies some intrigue here. Now, keep in mind, the contest takes place on July 4th from Coney Island, Brooklyn.
| 2024 Nathan's Hot Dog Numbers |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Chestnut | -2000 | -2500 | -2000 |
| The Field | +750 | +800 | +700 |
| Chestnut Over 68.5 Hot Dogs | -110 | -110 | -115 |
| Chestnut Under 68.5 Hot Dogs | -110 | -110 | -125 |
The 2024 Nathan’s Hot Dog Bets looks at the reign of Joey Chestnut. Yes, the greatest hot dog and competitive eater in history has been winning these belts since 2007. Aside from a surprise win from Matt Stonie, Chestnut has kept rolling. He even won a contest while fending off a protestor (see 2022). Chestnut saw the hot dogs and ate without skipping a beat.
Yes, it has not been always easy for the American competitive eater. The 16-time champion has won contests from pizza to gyozas to hamburgers. At Vegas Betting, we joke that you name it, Chestnut might have ate it competitively. There is even a rumor that Chestnut wants to challenge people at a lasagna eating contest. Simply, the now 40-year old shows no signs of slowing down.
So, there truly is one gigantic favorite for Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest. Honestly, it becomes harder and harder to search for trendy props. Some of those will have to wait but there is somewhat of a trend that Chestnut’s prowess is lessening. Is that enough to open the door or will Chestnut power through and win anyway?
The only problem is Joey Chetstnut’s aura is intimidating enough. Alright, think about this. Chestnut gets Supreme Court level perks for his eating prowess. His celebrity has a way of intimidating competition like few others can. The hot dog winning spread will be fun when it comes out. In the meantime, the safe bet is Joey to take home belt number 17.
So, does the field think this is their best chance as far as upsetting Chestnut. Honestly, there are a few candidates in theory. 2024 Nathan’s Hot Dog Futures Bets examine this longer shot. VegasBetting believes in the field at least a little. At +800 on
With bets focusing more and more focused on Joey Chestnut, one has to look at “The Field”. Granted, so much focus rightfully gets placed on Chestnut. He is an American icon and keeps winning contests. Chestnut even won a bologna contest in May. However, the field remains undaunted. Pat Bertoletti is capable of eating 50+ hot dogs and ate 48.25 during a recent qualifier.
Again, there are a few qualifiers to go, too. Could a few more candidates emerge? Absolutely. Last year’s results are interesting. Nick Wehry is gradually building up as he rises through the 40’s. Not even Geoffrey Esper could break 50. Again, a competitive eater like Bertoletti, mentioned above, carries the best chance along with a guy like James Webb maybe.
Simply, numbers may not move downward enough for Chestnut. Consider the humid conditions last year and again weather could play a role. If it was not for Chestnut, there would have been no contest. It will be curious to see if Webb, Bertoletti, or Wehry can rise up. A flier on the field is worth a few dollars.
Okay, how about more when it comes to he 2024 Nathan’s Hot Dog Bets? The odds stand firm when it comes to the Over which has held steady at 68.5 hot dogs for a few weeks. Will it stay there before the competition? That’s a great question. One of the biggest issues was weather as we mentioned above. Some even asked will there be protests again? As much as no one likes it, the event takes place in New York so it is possible.
Now, when we started digging through the trends, Chestnut has ate less than 68 1/2 hot dogs ten times since he won his first mustard belt. Those early years saw the American go Under four times in a row where he enjoyed that five year run of eating 70+ hot dogs. Some feel competitive eating is kind of a parabolic curve of sorts. There feels like a slight uptick is possible but how much for Chestnut?
Then again anything can happen in contests like this. Even though the chance Chestnut wins is currently 95.24% and higher, there is always that one time. Long ago, Chestnut was that guy. He was the one who could not quite get over the hump. People forget those days.
For the 2024 Nathan’s Hot Dog Bets taking Chestnut to eat 68 hot dogs or fewer is our bet here. It will be close and if the number moves, we will keep an eye on those shifts.
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