The ATP tennis tour returns to Madrid for the 2025 edition of the Mutua Open this week, with the top players returning to action.
Carlos Alcaraz will be looking for success in his home land but will have to hold off competition against the likes of Novak Djokovic, Alexander Zverev and Casper Ruud in order to claim a third title in four years
We’ll take a look at the betting for the tournament and provide you with our best free tennis betting picks to see if we can earn you some extra cash while you enjoy top-level action on the court.
| ATP Madrid Open 2025 |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | +225 | +220 | +220 |
| Novak Djokovic | +700 | +750 | +750 |
| Alexander Zverev | +1100 | +1000 | +1000 |
| Casper Ruud | +2000 | +1800 | +1800 |
| Taylor Fritz | +2000 | +2000 | +2000 |
| Holger Rune | +2500 | +2200 | +2200 |
Check out the best tennis Vegas odds here.
Below you’ll find a list of favorites to win the ATP Madrid Open 2025.
The current world number three comes into this tournament in fine form, having won the ATP Monte Carlo tournament earlier this month before reaching the final in Barcelona last week – where he suffered defeat to Casper Ruud and an injury in the process.
The hope from many is that Alcaraz will be able to shake off the injury problem he is facing to turn in some top performances, but there will no doubt be doubts until we see him in action on the court once again.
His history in Spain is great too. Alcaraz won the ATP Madrid Open back in 2022 and 2023, before elimination in the quarter-finals last year.
Having been put in the same side of the draw as rival Djokovic and the likes of Jack Draper, he faces a difficult route to success, especially if he’s not 100% fit. But it’s fair to say that Alcaraz is the new ‘King of Clay’, taking over from his idol Rafael Nadal, and this is his tournament to lose if he’s fully fit.
At +225 there is decent value in a 100% fit Alcaraz to get a third title in four years, but with doubts over if he’s at that level following Barcelona this may be a bet to fade.
Check out our review for BetOnline sports betting here.
Many people consider Djokovic to be the greatest of all time now that the long-time rivalry between himself, Roger Federer and Nadal is over, and the 25-time Grand Slam champion continues to compete at the highest level.
But there is no doubting that he is past the peak of his powers now, and so far in 2025 he hasn’t had the greatest of times. The Serbian comes into this tournament with a 12-6 record for the year and zero tournament wins, including a defeat in his first match at the ATP Monte-Carlo tournament in his last outing.
But he will come into this tournament super motivated, chasing the 100th ATP title of his career – where he’d become only the third men’s player to ever achieve the feat after Federer (103) and Jimmy Connors (109).
Currently the world number five, Djokovic would have to beat some of the top young talent on his way to that title though, and in his current form that looks a tough ask. He is well-positioned to reach the quarter-finals so long as he isn’t having a real off-day, but for him to go on and then beat the likes of Alcaraz and Zverev seems unlikely.
If you back Djokovic to have one last hurrah and win that 100th title in Madrid, which would be his fourth success in this event, then +750 is terrific value and well worth a punt.
Check out our review for Bovada sports betting here.
A two-time champion in Madrid and the current world number two, Zverev has been handed a relatively kind draw this year after being placed in the opposite half to fellow contenders Alcaraz and Djokovic.
The German’s path to a third Madrid crown is still littered with potentially tricky opponents like Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, who reached the last four in Monte Carlo earlier this month, and current holder Andrey Rublev.
But Zverev comes into this tournament on the back of securing a third Bavarian Masters title last week, where he beat Ben Shelton in the final having dropped just one set in the entire competition.
His decision to play the Munich event, where the conditions are closer to those in Madrid because of the higher altitude, rather than Barcelona should also stand him in good stead. But while world number one Jannik Sinner continues to serve a suspension, Zverev has failed to take advantage and claim his spot.
At odds of +1100 though, there is terrific value in the German coming away with a third title in Madrid and finally pushing himself closer to the world number one spot.
