The men head to the mean streets of New York City (err Queens) for the final Grand Slam of the season as we approach the end of the hardcourt season for 2025.
In 2024 it was Jannik Sinner who prevailed over Taylor Fritz. Last year featured a few stunners including Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic who fell before the quarterfinals. Djokovic was eliminated in the third round while Alcaraz only won one round before leaving New York. Americans fared very well in the event as Frances Tiafoe made the semifinals with Fritz losing in the final.
But who will win this year? We will examine the top choices and maybe a few longer shots in the men’s field and provide you with our free tennis betting picks to see if we can help you make a little more green as you try to enjoy the hottest tennis action in New York City.
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Below you’ll find the early numbers for the final grand slam of the tennis season.
| Men's US Open Numbers |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | +110 | +125 | +125 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | +185 | +175 | +175 |
| Novak Djokovic | +1200 | +1200 | +1200 |
| Jack Draper | +1400 | +1500 | +1400 |
| Alexander Zverev | +1600 | +1600 | +1600 |
| Taylor Fritz | +2000 | +1800 | +1800 |
| Ben Shelton | +2200 | +2200 | +2000 |
| Daniil Medvedev | +2500 | +2800 | +2500 |
Despite sitting out for three months, Jannik Sinner looks poised to repeat as the US Open Champion. He is rolling along and the Men’s 2025 US Open futures moved toward the Italian. Now, this was a coin flip mere days ago but is not the case now. Could that change again in time? Absolutely. Is that likely? Maybe, not as likely as one would expect.
Sinner erased the demons cast from the French Open where he squandered a two set lead to Carlos Alcaraz. In 2025, the Italian has appeared in all three Grand Slam finals and won twice. He won two Grand Slams in 2024, including this very event. Set percentages may fluctuate but Sinner did defeat Fritz in straight sets when it counted the most.
So far in 29 matches he has 26 wins in 2025, and after becoming the first Italian to win Wimbledon, the next goal is to win three Grand Slams in 2025. Sinner did withdraw from the Canadian Open but expects to tune up in Cincinnati for this big tournament.
While upsets could definitely happen here, it’s looking unlikely Sinner will stumble in the early rounds. Sinner’s all court ground game and movement pose major problems for anyone he faces. He showed at Wimbledon against Alcaraz that the Italian could adapt then conquer the more nervous junctures of the match. This is why he is now the favorite.
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So, Men’s 2025 US Open futures ask the big question. Will the world number two gain back his form in time for late August? Despite his 48-6 record and five ATP titles, the Spaniard remains a bit of a question mark to be honest. He did not fare so well at the Australian Open as he lost to Novak Djokovic in the quarters. Like Sinner, he withdrew from the Canadian Open to focus on Cincinnati.
The Spaniard has not played since Wimbledon. Okay, the difference between Alcaraz and Sinner is a little complex. It is no secret that Alcaraz on his best day is likely a favorite here even against the Italian. His 8-5 career record against Sinner includes several hardcourt victories. However, times are different and more uncertainties have entered the equation.
It is amazing to believe that Alcaraz could be a six-time Grand Slam champion, Alcaraz has shown the ability to win on any and every surface. Alcaraz getting +185 numbers feels like a trap. If he gets on a roll early, the Spanish phenom could be difficult to stop. Momentum and the mental are the two hurdles for Alcaraz. If he conquers both, then look out!
Yes, the numbers may shorten, so getting in early rather than late may be prudent here.
Below we present a few more betting options for the fourth and last Grand Slam of 2025. Men’s US Open 2025 futures dig their heels in.
One of the biggest problems is projecting how big the presence of the Americans will be. Something magical happens around Labor Day weekend and suddenly several tennis players from the Stars and Stripes are a player in the tournament. It feels like this happens more often lately. Last year, Francis Tiafoe and Taylor Fritz went on very deep runs.
Some believe Fritz can make the Final again. It would take a little luck but it is possible. Also, with the rise of players like Ben Shelton and Tommy Paul, this could be quite the event. One of these four players could get well into the second week and maybe more. The range of numbers delves into some considerably longer shots because the two favorites are so high up on the pedestal.
Fritz has the shortest numbers of any American to win at +2000. After that, Shelton is edging in at +2200 with Paul at +6500 and Tiafoe at +8000. The latter two players present too much risk but Fritz or Shelton as a Finalist may be worth a look.
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