The Super Middleweights end the month in London, England, in this September 30th clash between Canelo Alvarez and Jermell Charlo. This bout gets top billing in the United States. The two fighters know what this fight truly means. An expected fight time was estimated around 11:00 pm ET from Las Vegas, Nevada. Can Canelo step up and deliver in the Super Middleweight Boxing Picks?
Numbers have been updated from the prime online Vegas boxing betting sites.
Alvarez vs Charlo Odds | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
---|---|---|---|
Canelo Alvarez | -400 | -400 | -416 |
Jermell Charlo | +275 | +300 | +268 |
Over 10.5 Rounds | -325 | -320 | -312 |
Under 10.5 Rounds | +230 | +225 | +209 |
When it comes to Canelo Álvarez vs Jermell Charlo Boxing Picks, there are plenty of questions. Of course, this depends on the expert one interviews. While it is not a secret, Canelo appeared to lose a step or two in his previous three fights. Jermell Charlo moves up not one but two weight classes for this fight. Super Middleweight Boxing Picks see plenty of questions and volatility here.
Bluntly, Canelo Álvarez is not a Light Heavyweight. Fighting at 175 pounds was a bad idea and actually made him look and punch even slower. The 168-pound weight class suits him better, and there were flashes of the old Canelo in his last bout against John Ryder. However, there were few and that does concern some against a guy like Charlo, who is the undisputed Junior Middleweight champion.
This fight is everything for Charlo. The pride of Houston, Texas (35-1-1, 19 KO’S) has trained his entire life for a moment like Saturday, September 30th. Now, for Canelo Álvarez, the fight becomes defining, too. Not only is Alvarez going for his 60th professional win, but the Mexican pugilist is attempting to restore his status in the boxing annuls as they say. Alvarez comes in with a 59-2-2 mark and 39 KOs, but some things have been missing lately.
This weight class checks in at 168 pounds. While Alvarez has been most comfortable around the 168-pound range, Jermell Charlo has fought in the 154-pound weight class. Some fighters can easily move up a weight class, like Terrance Crawford. Now, Super Middleweight Boxing Picks shock some, with Alvarez being such a big favorite more than two weeks from now.
Does anyone think this fight is going 12 rounds? That answer is quite likely. Yes. Moving up almost 15 pounds in weight figures to have an effect later in rounds for Charlo. There is little doubt he has considerable firepower, and he can hurt Canelo. However, the 33-year-old Alvarez stepped up his training drastically. Some believe there were a few fundamental flaws in his technique and a nagging injury that caused problems.
A few sites even called Canelo “washed up” after the Bivol fight and again had questions after the Ryder bout. Fortunately for Alvarez, it seems adjustments were made. He looks faster, and his punches have much more zip. Then again, that is training. Not even sparring prepares a fighter for what is to come in the ring all the time. There is one other thing. Now, Canelo has been far more active. This is Charlo’s first fight in 16 months.
Part of that is because of the Tim Tsyzu saga, where the fight was on and off more times than a person changes underwear. On the other hand, Charlo says this is the opportunity of a lifetime. He expects to be ready for this bout. That hunger and desire will help, but Canelo is extremely motivated to improve on what has been a lackluster three-fight stretch. Taking Alvarez again in the Super Middleweight Boxing Picks by decision is a solid wager.
Can Jermell Charlo win this fight? The American fighter from Houston, Texas, has the punching power. He has knocked out four of his past five opponents and avenged the only two “blemishes” on his record. Most say he beat Brian Castano in their first fight. Charlo knew he had left the door open for a draw. The second fight saw the champion punish Castano often, and after multiple knockdowns, the fight had to be stopped in the tenth round.
So, the Super Middleweight Boxing Picks gauge Charlo as a +265 to +300 underdog to win on the moneyline against Canelo Álvarez. It is understandable. Consider that there are enough pundits, though, who think Charlo may not lose much even with the inactivity and increased weight. Supposedly, Charlo trained at the heavier weight for several months, and there were indications his power was still mostly there.
Oddly enough, Charlo is also 33 years old. That surprises some in the boxing community but not here. The one thing that he possesses is the ability to believe he can knock Canelo down. Now, that is easier said than done. However, there is a little precedent on his side. Sugar Ray Leonard and Roy Jones Jr. pulled off a multiple weight class increase and won titles. Anything is possible.
Super Middleweight props for September 30th enjoy some good online boxing odds. The idea of Charlo by knockout comes in at +750 early. Even the fight not going the distance hovers around +200. On the other side, sprinkling a small amount of money on a Canelo knockout in Round 9 or 10 at +2000 is interesting.
For those who want to play it safe, a decision rolls in at -275.
Super Middleweight boxing picks tilt to Canelo on September 30th.
There are more online betting sites for extra boxing bets.
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