The Super Middleweights take the squared circle for this May 6th bout between Canelo Alvarez and John Ryder. This bout gets streamed on ESPN+ in the United States and features two excellent fighters. Prelims proceed a few hours before. This bout starts around Midnight (approximately) from Jalisco, Mexico. Will Canelo keep his titles in the Super Middleweight Boxing Picks?
Here are our latest numbers from the top Vegas online boxing betting sites.
|Canelo vs Ryder Odds|
|Over 9.5 Rounds||-110||-105||+103|
|Under 9.5 Rounds||+150||+145||-142|
Canelo Alvarez comes across as a hell of a fighter, but the clock is ticking. He is not quite the scary fighter no one wants to fight anymore. Now, his record is 58-2-2 and will likely be 59-2-2 after this bout. However, he comes into the fight at 32 years old. How long can the Mexican pugilist keep doing this at this level? Super Middleweight Boxing Picks ponders how Canelo will look against the British fighter John Ryder.
Alvarez still believes he can knock fighters out, and his record makes this debatable. The Super Middleweight has one loss and one draw in his 12 fights. That included a disputed draw against GGG and a few split decisions. Now, the Mexican fighter has won only three of his past ten matches by knockout. Alvarez split his last two bouts and eyes an eventual rematch with Dmitry Bivol.
This fight expects to showcase more power shots from Canelo than expected. There is some advantage that the Mexican should be able to utilize against his British opponent on Saturday. Expect Alvarez to have a very raucous crowd on his side, too, which should raise the level of adrenaline. One of the other bigger advantages may come down to his 100% recovery from hand surgery. Alvarez has had seven months to rest.
This division comes in stacked compared to some of the other divisions. However, this fight is a pure stepping stone fight. Why? Simply, everyone knows Canelo eyes Bivol again in September. Part of the reason may be to take a look at this fight. Alvarez started out around -1000 to -1200 on the moneyline. His numbers ballooned to the -1700 to -2000 range for Saturday’s bout. Again, Super Middleweight Boxing Picks has an easy target.
Now, Alvarez can end this early on Saturday. The dilemma is whether to go later with the knockout or jump down to the props. Would an early KO, or even the under on rounds be enticing (Under 9.5 rounds is -142 on MyBookie)? A huge advantage is ring experience Ramirez from his days as an amateur. Canelo has a slight 1 1/2 inch reach disadvantage compared to Ryan but then again, Alvarez has the power which Ryan does not.
Yes, Alvarez knows what is at stake. To put a little fear in Bivol coming up, the Mexican must look like vintage Canelo against Ryder. Ryder will be stubborn, and that gives Alvarez a chance to catch the Brit flat-footed. He figures to appear more polished and with greater power shots in this bout. That sets up that big match in September in the 175-pound division. Here is that crazy moneyline number one more time in Super Middleweight Boxing Picks.
John Ryder gets the mandatory second chance for the belts this Saturday. The British fighter was indeed almost a world champion, but that was in 2019 before the pandemic. Since that loss to Callum Smith, Ryder has won four straight fights, but only one by knockout. As he has aged, Ryder has become smarter. However, does he really scare Canelo? The answer seems very likely no, but there is respect.
With the Super Middleweight Boxing Picks, Ryder lurks anywhere from +650 to +900 as an underdog for Saturday night. That number lengthened in leaps and bounds from a month ago. So, Ryder has respect from Canelo, but little else. Expect Ryder to come at Canelo and not back down even from adversity. The British pugilist has 18 knockout in his 32 victories.
Both fighters appear to have fire but Ryder is going to need to rock Canelo early. That makes for some good boxing in the opening rounds. Occasionally, the possibility of a faster ending is possible, and Ryder does have a solid chin. However, the adrenaline Canelo will feel may be too much. Like we said, Ryder needs to get in some power shots early and hope for the best. His line is long but not impossible.
Super Middleweight props for Saturday see great online boxing odds for this fight. Only a few props are what we would call easier to digest. One of them is Canelo to win by stoppage or knockout. This carries a little risk because referees sometimes get in the way. The Under of 9.5 rounds comes in at +142 on BetOnline, which is possible. Stepping lower to 7.5 is EVEN by the way.
It allows the ability to take some shots at some of the round wagers too. Look for the Canelo knockout chance in Rounds 7-10. Do look at those +750 numbers (for rounds 7-8 or 9-10). That creates room for a solid hedge.
Super Middleweight boxing picks expect a Canelo KO/stoppage of Ryder before the 10th round on Saturday from Mexico.
Bovada, BetOnline, and MyBookie have these online betting sites to make more bets for Saturday and for more May bouts.
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