College Football Vegas Odds come out for next season even before the old season ends. Props and bets carry their place in the sports betting pantheon. This article has our Heisman Trophy Early Prop Picks for the 2023-24 season. Will Caleb Williams find a way to repeat? Or will there be value in picking a quarterback from Notre Dame or even Tennessee? Finally, are there any other Even+ picks that can be had?
| NCAAF Early Heisman Numbers |  |  |
|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams | +400 | +550 |
| Drake Maye | +1000 | +600 |
| Michael Penix Jr. | +1200 | +1200 |
| Bo Nix | +1200 | +1400 |
| Jordan Travis | +1200 | +800 |
| Brock Vandagriff | +1800 | +2800 |
| Quinn Ewers | +1800 | +2500 |
| Sam Hartman | +1800 | +1200 |
| Jayden Daniels | +2000 | +2000 |
| Joe Milton | +2000 | +2000 |
There is a Week 0 in college football that starts in about seven months. The early favorite for pundits and Heisman Trophy Prop Picks is Caleb Williams, the quarterback from USC. His odds have been fairly consistent for the most part. However, some good news is that BetOnline has him at +550. Meanwhile, Bovada carries the signal-caller at +300.
Now, that being said, this is ridiculously early. Most pundits see the USC schedule and the fact that they play in the PAC-12 as a significant edge. USC looks to be a slight favorite to win the conference crown, with Williams being the biggest reason. Look at how close the Trojans came to winning last year versus Utah. That injury to the quarterback doomed USC. A healthy Williams wins that game, and who knows what might have happened.
USC plays a rough schedule starting mid-October with a trip to Notre Dame. Then they play Washington, Oregon, and UCLA to end the regular season. Williams gets quite a few chances on the national stage. It was ironic the reason he won the Heisman last year. Voters saw what USC was like on national television without the signal-caller. The Trojans were night and day out there.
This is where the debate for Heisman Trophy Prop Picks starts. Naturally, their schedule helps Oklahoma and Rattler here. Rattler should get to pad his numbers heavily in September.
It is reasonable to see why Caleb Williams is a slight favorite. The team around him, combined with a high-impact schedule late, helps the quarterback. Also, national television exposure increases in critical moments. One has to be seen to be noticed. Williams gets those opportunities. Winning the Heisman puts the spotlight on him already.
As February approaches, the Heisman Trophy odds are updated, and Drake Maye is still seven months from the start of his Sophomore season. The Tar Heels quarterback has mostly been listed between +600 and +1000, while some outlier sites have him as high as +1200. For perspective, Maye and North Carolina will still put up numbers. However, how will Maye fare without Phil Longo, who left to be an offensive coordinator at Wisconsin?
It comes down to the first few games. Maye gets ample chances to air the ball out against South Carolina and Minnesota, along with a couple of easier schools. After that, there is a meeting in Clemson which should be his biggest test. Last year, he failed horribly against the Tigers.
What did the young quarterback learn from last season? The strange concept is this. Maye improvement from his Freshman season is likely, and yet his numbers may suffer. He still may pass for around 4,000 yards and run for 500. Some will argue that it is a down year for the Tar Heels’ signal-caller. What does he have to do to wow the critics? One way would be to beat Clemson on the road. Will that supporting cast be good enough? The answer remains unknown.
For the NCAA Heisman Prop Picks, our best bet is for Maye to regress a bit this upcoming season.
Sam Hartman expects to be a formidable player in the Heisman Trophy Prop Picks race. The Notre Dame quarterback goes on the big stage. This is not Wake Forest anymore. Hartman needs to display the discipline not to throw or fumble games away. The Fighting Irish defense is light years better than what the Demon Deacons possessed.
Hartman gets the privilege to play Clemson on the road along with games against USC and Ohio State. Needless to say, the step up to national television better suited the quarterback. With the expectations comes a pressure few players thrive under. Think Joe Montana levels of cool which is what Hartman will need to be for Notre Dame to be a success this upcoming season.
The other key for Harman is very simple. He must lead Notre Dame to victories with his arm and his legs. His arm, in particular, will be more vital. The fact that he is at +1200 to as high as +1800 right now seems a bit much. His odds should be shorter.
Notre Dame and Hartman need to begin with authority. Anything like last year would be a disaster. Marcus Freeman gets a fresh start in year number two and makes that next step with his Heisman-caliber quarterback
Out of the challengers, Sam Hartman is our longer-shot Heisman Trophy Prop Picks candidate.
Even longer shots worth watching maybe WR Marvin Harrison Jr. of Ohio State. Harrison Jr. runs with breakneck speed and precision with routes. His +5000 is a steal at BetOnline, depending on what the Buckeyes come up with at quarterback. Joe Milton remains intriguing at Tennessee, depending on his supporting cast.
Take Caleb Williams to win the Heisman Trophy for this NCAA football season but watch out for players like Sam Hartman and even Michael Penix Jr. or Bo Nix from the PAC-12.
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